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So am I surrounded by an uneducated minority?
#1
I work in a shipping and printing store.
Without provocation, and on their own, it would seem as if almost every customer that comes in is in the No More Obama camp.
I just hear a bunch of fed up people, workers and those searching for it.
A lot of frustration and even anger is being let out with no opposition from others, just more agreement.
I don't think I have any friends who support the current president either.

So where are the people that are for keeping him in power? I realize I hang out with people with similar beliefs etc, so I guess I get that our political positions would be alike as well. But how about what I hear from my exposure of the general populace. Is it the town, state, money spenders or what that keeps my ears away from the "winning team?"

I know my stance on certain issues and I'm not one to need to work myself up publicly on them, but I do find societal observances such as these interesting and a little puzzling when compared to current poll resluts.
#2
There are a lot of the original Obama voters that put him in office for all the wrong reasons. These are the ones jumping ship.

1. The ones who wanted to see the first black President. Now that its done, there is no reason to keep him.

2. The ones that truly believed Obama was going to pay for all their stuff (medical, houses, cars, food). All they got was a forclosure and no bright light at the end of this financial black hole. I guess they didn't expect the handouts were really an outstretched hand that was reaching to slap them in the face.

3. The ones that saught change... and didn't account that "bad to worse" is still a change.

4. The ones that truly believed in his promises... but now see that it was a big bag of empty promises.

The rest of America that "still" wants to vote for him in November... now those are the uneducated ones.

Arizona has always been a Republican State. Therefore it is not unusual to find people that is anti-Obama. Yet it still amazes me how many cars I see that still sport the old Obama bumper stickers.

It just makes me sick to know that his first four years he has dramatically weakened the USA.
#3
I wont be surprised if he wins a second term

look at the job numbers that came out today. Whitehouse says umemployment fell from 8.1 to 7.8%. Thats over 800,000 jobs added in 1 month. Really?

according to the household survey, 873,000 jobs were created last month. Very close to one million jobs. That's not unprecedented; it happened last in 1983.

Only thing is, when that happened in 1983, that was in the first blast of the Reagan boom, and the country's Gross Domestic Product was growing at a blistering 9.3% rate.

Current rate of GDP growth? Something like 1.3%....

So. You can buy that this number is real, and we all just missed the signs of a 9.3% growth spurt, or you can wonder if maybe this isn't just an "implausible statistical quirk," as one analyst calls it. Every poll -- and that's what the household survey is, a big poll -- is subject for the occasional outside-the-MoE error.

You don't even have to think Obama cooked the books (though Jay Cost reminds that that does happen) to look at the number with suspicion.

The economy simply did not add 873,000 jobs last month. It simply did not. The payroll survey says it added a mere 114,000.

There is absolutely no confirmatory data suggesting that the 873,000 number is right and the 114,000 number is wrong. As one guy asked on Twitter -- did payroll taxes jump up past month?

It's either a lucky outlier for Obama -- or luck had nothing to do with it -- but it doesn't represent current economic conditions.

If Obama and Solis really believed the economy grew 873,000 jobs, why aren't they celebrating that? Why aren't they bragging about it? Why aren't they doubting the 114,000 figure, and noting the 700,000 in undercounted jobs they should be getting credit for?

Answer: Because they know it's ridiculous.


"mistakes" like the magic growth numbers, polling glitches and other things make me think Obama has a chance at a second term
#4
When these surveyers call a home, what question do you think was asked? "Are you receiving UE benefits"? Or, "Did you find work"?

Unemployment fell because some 700k less people are no longer receiving unemployment benefits. It's not because they are now employed. Their extended UE benefits have expired and has not been renewed. The feds decided not to extend it.

Poll data is too easily manipulated.
#5
Again, from the mouths of my customers, some of them who have been with their companies for many years are being asked/told to take 2/3 pay cuts, that they can't afford their salary. So knowing how bad the employment rate is, they stay with the job. Also a couple salary based customers have suffered the same loss as their bosses dropped them down to only commission.
Things like that can skew results too. Technically they still have their job...
#6
The Taiwanese news makes it so much easier for me to understand the news

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#7
As long as my business doesn't drop another 40%....